Illustrative midpoint: $11,650
What this 2026 estimate assumes
A typical 2.5–3.5 ton outdoor unit and matched indoor coil, normal access, standard efficiency, and limited duct changes.
The range is a research starting point, not a promise of local price. It deliberately keeps uncertainty visible so you can compare the same equipment, labor, electrical, controls, permits, ductwork, warranty, and commissioning scope across bids.
What moves the final price
- Coil, furnace, or air-handler compatibility must be documented as a matched system.
- Line-set condition and refrigerant transition rules affect scope.
- Humidity performance depends on sizing and airflow, not only SEER2.
Three checks before you sign
- Obtain the complete matched-system model numbers.
- Ask for charge and airflow verification.
- Confirm permits and condensate protection.
Ask each contractor to identify exclusions in writing. A clear exclusion is easier to compare than an undefined allowance discovered after demolition or startup.
Use the range without oversizing the system
Price pages cannot size equipment. Floor area and brand are useful search dimensions, but the final selection should follow a documented load calculation and certified performance at local design conditions. The installation should close with recorded airflow, static pressure, refrigerant or combustion checks, controls, drainage, and safety testing.
Customize the replacement estimateCommon questions
Is $8,800–$14,500 a quote?
No. It is a broad 2026 planning range built from transparent national allowances. Site conditions, local labor, exact equipment, code work, incentives, and contractor scope can move a real bid outside it.
Can square footage or brand determine the right system?
No. Capacity requires a building load calculation, and brand does not replace matched-system performance, installation quality, airflow, commissioning, or local service support.